progs/drumb_sol.scala
author Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
Mon, 21 Nov 2016 19:23:37 +0000
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// Advanvced Part 3 about really dumb investing strategy
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//=======================================================
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//two test portfolios
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val blchip_portfolio = List("GOOG", "AAPL", "MSFT", "IBM", "FB", "YHOO", "AMZN", "BIDU")
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val rstate_portfolio = List("PLD", "PSA", "AMT", "AIV", "AVB", "BXP", "CBG", "CCI", 
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                            "DLR", "EQIX", "EQR", "ESS", "EXR", "FRT", "GGP", "HCP") 
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// (1) The function below should obtain the first trading price
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// for a stock symbol by using the query
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//
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//    http://ichart.yahoo.com/table.csv?s=<<symbol>>&a=0&b=1&c=<<year>>&d=1&e=1&f=<<year>> 
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// 
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// and extracting the first January Adjusted Close price in a year.
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import io.Source
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import scala.util._
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def get_yahoo_page(url: String): Option[List[String]] = {
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  Try(Some(Source.fromURL(url)("ISO-8859-1").getLines.toList)).
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    getOrElse { None }
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}
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def get_first_price(symbol: String, year: Int): Option[Double] = {
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  //println(s"download..${symbol} at ${year}")
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  val year_string = year.toString
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  val date_string = s"&a=0&b=1&c=${year_string}&d=1&e=1&f=${year_string}"
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  val url = """http://ichart.yahoo.com/table.csv?s=""" + symbol + date_string
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  val data = get_yahoo_page(url)
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  data.map(_.last.split(",").toList(6).toDouble)
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}
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// Complete the function below that obtains all first prices
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// for the stock symbols from a portfolio for the given
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// range of years
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def get_prices(portfolio: List[String], years: Range): List[List[Option[Double]]] = 
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  for (year <- years.toList) yield
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    for (symbol <- portfolio) yield get_first_price(symbol, year)
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// test case
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val p_fb = get_prices(List("FB"), 2012 to 2014)
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val p = get_prices(List("GOOG", "AAPL"), 2005 to 2012)
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// (2) The first function below calculates the change factor (delta) between
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// a price in year n and a price in year n+1. The second function calculates
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// all change factors for all prices (from a portfolio).
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def get_delta(price_old: Option[Double], price_new: Option[Double]): Option[Double] = {
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  (price_old, price_new) match {
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    case (Some(x), Some(y)) => Some((y - x) / x)
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    case _ => None
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  }
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}
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def get_deltas(data: List[List[Option[Double]]]):  List[List[Option[Double]]] =
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  for (i <- (0 until (data.length - 1)).toList) yield 
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    for (j <- (0 until (data(0).length)).toList) yield get_delta(data(i)(j), data(i + 1)(j))
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// test case using the prices calculated above
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val d = get_deltas(p)
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// (3) Write a function that given change factors, a starting balance and a year
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// calculates the yearly yield, i.e. new balanace, according to our dump investment 
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// strategy. Another function calculates given the same data calculates the
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// compound yield up to a given year. Finally a function combines all 
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// calculations by taking a portfolio, a range of years and a start balance
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// as arguments.
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def yearly_yield(data: List[List[Option[Double]]], balance: Long, year: Int): Long = {
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  val somes = data(year).flatten
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  val somes_length = somes.length
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  if (somes_length == 0) balance
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  else {
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    val portion: Double = balance.toDouble / somes_length.toDouble
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    balance + (for (x <- somes) yield (x * portion)).sum.toLong
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  }
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}
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//test case
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yearly_yield(d, 100, 0)
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yearly_yield(d, 225, 1)
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yearly_yield(d, 246, 2)
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yearly_yield(d, 466, 3)
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yearly_yield(d, 218, 4)
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yearly_yield(d, 469, 5)
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yearly_yield(d, 587, 6)
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//yearly_yield(d, 100, 0)
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//yearly_yield(d, 125, 1)
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def compound_yield(data: List[List[Option[Double]]], balance: Long, year: Int): Long = {
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  if (year >= data.length) balance else {
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    val new_balance = yearly_yield(data, balance, year)
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    compound_yield(data, new_balance, year + 1)
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  }
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}
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compound_yield(d.take(6), 100, 0)
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def investment(portfolio: List[String], years: Range, start_balance: Long): Long = {
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  compound_yield(get_deltas(get_prices(portfolio, years)), start_balance, 0)
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}
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investment(List("GOOG", "AAPL"), 2005 to 2009, 100)
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//test cases for the two portfolios given above
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println("Real data: " + investment(rstate_portfolio, 1978 to 2016, 100))
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println("Blue data: " + investment(blchip_portfolio, 1978 to 2016, 100))
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val p_fb = get_prices(List("FB"), 2011 to 2016)
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// prices 2011 - 2016
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//    
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List(List(None), List(None), List(Some(28.0)), 
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     List(Some(54.709999)), List(Some(78.449997)), 
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     List(Some(102.220001)))
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// deltas 2011 - 2016
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val d_fb = get_deltas(p_fb)
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List(List(None), List(None), List(Some(0.9539285357142858)), 
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     List(Some(0.4339242996513305)), List(Some(0.30299560113431234)))
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yearly_yield(d_fb, 100, 0)   //2011  => 100
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yearly_yield(d_fb, 100, 1)   //2012  => 100
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yearly_yield(d_fb, 100, 2)   //2013  => 195
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yearly_yield(d_fb, 195, 3)   //2014  => 279   
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yearly_yield(d_fb, 279, 4)   //2015  => 363
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investment(List("FB"), 2011 to 2012, 100)  // => 100
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investment(List("FB"), 2011 to 2013, 100)  // => 100
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investment(List("FB"), 2011 to 2014, 100)  // => 195
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investment(List("FB"), 2011 to 2015, 100)  // => 279
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investment(List("FB"), 2011 to 2016, 100)  // => 363
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val rs_p = get_prices(rstate_portfolio, 1978 to 2016)
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val bl_p = get_prices(blchip_portfolio, 1978 to 2016)
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val rs_d = get_deltas(rs_p)
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val bl_d = get_deltas(bl_p)
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rs_p(0)
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    <-
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rs_p(1)
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    <- 
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rs_p(2)
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    <- 
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rs_p(3)
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   158
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Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   159
rs_d(0)
d6f97b562424 updated
Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   160
rs_d(1)
d6f97b562424 updated
Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   161
rs_d(2)
d6f97b562424 updated
Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   162
d6f97b562424 updated
Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   163
yearly_yield(rs_d, 100, 0)
d6f97b562424 updated
Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   164
yearly_yield(rs_d, 96, 1)
d6f97b562424 updated
Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   165
yearly_yield(rs_d, 95, 2)
d6f97b562424 updated
Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   166
yearly_yield(rs_d, 134, 3)
d6f97b562424 updated
Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   167
yearly_yield(rs_d, 126, 4)
d6f97b562424 updated
Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   168
yearly_yield(rs_d, 169, 5)
d6f97b562424 updated
Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de>
parents: 62
diff changeset
   169