author | Christian Urban <urbanc@in.tum.de> |
Wed, 08 Nov 2017 02:06:54 +0000 | |
changeset 129 | b1a51285de7e |
parent 82 | 28c8e17ab83a |
child 131 | 1fb90f5d53ee |
permissions | -rw-r--r-- |
129 | 1 |
// Advanvced Part 3 about a really dumb investment strategy |
2 |
//========================================================== |
|
3 |
||
4 |
object CW6c { |
|
5 |
||
18 | 6 |
|
7 |
//two test portfolios |
|
8 |
||
129 | 9 |
val blchip_portfolio = List("GOOG", "AAPL", "MSFT", "IBM", "FB", "AMZN", "BIDU") |
10 |
val rstate_portfolio = List("PLD", "PSA", "AMT", "AIV", "AVB", "BXP", "CCI", |
|
18 | 11 |
"DLR", "EQIX", "EQR", "ESS", "EXR", "FRT", "GGP", "HCP") |
12 |
||
26 | 13 |
// (1) The function below should obtain the first trading price |
14 |
// for a stock symbol by using the query |
|
15 |
// |
|
16 |
// http://ichart.yahoo.com/table.csv?s=<<symbol>>&a=0&b=1&c=<<year>>&d=1&e=1&f=<<year>> |
|
17 |
// |
|
18 |
// and extracting the first January Adjusted Close price in a year. |
|
18 | 19 |
|
129 | 20 |
|
18 | 21 |
import io.Source |
22 |
import scala.util._ |
|
23 |
||
129 | 24 |
def get_january_data(symbol: String, year: Int) : List[String] = |
25 |
Source.fromFile(symbol ++ ".csv")("ISO-8859-1").getLines.toList.filter(_.startsWith(year.toString)) |
|
26 |
||
27 |
||
28 |
get_trading_data("FB", 2015) |
|
29 |
get_trading_data("GOOG", 2010).head |
|
30 |
||
31 |
def get_first_price(symbol: String, year: Int) : Option[Double] = { |
|
32 |
val data = Try(Some(get_january_data(symbol, year).head)) getOrElse None |
|
33 |
data.map(_.split(",").toList(1).toDouble) |
|
18 | 34 |
} |
35 |
||
129 | 36 |
get_first_price("GOOG", 1980) |
37 |
get_first_price("GOOG", 2010) |
|
38 |
get_first_price("FB", 2014) |
|
18 | 39 |
|
26 | 40 |
|
41 |
// Complete the function below that obtains all first prices |
|
42 |
// for the stock symbols from a portfolio for the given |
|
43 |
// range of years |
|
44 |
||
18 | 45 |
def get_prices(portfolio: List[String], years: Range): List[List[Option[Double]]] = |
46 |
for (year <- years.toList) yield |
|
47 |
for (symbol <- portfolio) yield get_first_price(symbol, year) |
|
48 |
||
26 | 49 |
|
50 |
// test case |
|
62 | 51 |
val p_fb = get_prices(List("FB"), 2012 to 2014) |
129 | 52 |
val p = get_prices(List("GOOG", "AAPL"), 2010 to 2012) |
18 | 53 |
|
82 | 54 |
val tt = get_prices(List("IBM", "BIDU"), 2004 to 2008) |
18 | 55 |
|
26 | 56 |
// (2) The first function below calculates the change factor (delta) between |
57 |
// a price in year n and a price in year n+1. The second function calculates |
|
58 |
// all change factors for all prices (from a portfolio). |
|
59 |
||
129 | 60 |
def get_delta(price_old: Option[Double], price_new: Option[Double]) : Option[Double] = { |
18 | 61 |
(price_old, price_new) match { |
62 |
case (Some(x), Some(y)) => Some((y - x) / x) |
|
63 |
case _ => None |
|
64 |
} |
|
65 |
} |
|
66 |
||
67 |
def get_deltas(data: List[List[Option[Double]]]): List[List[Option[Double]]] = |
|
68 |
for (i <- (0 until (data.length - 1)).toList) yield |
|
69 |
for (j <- (0 until (data(0).length)).toList) yield get_delta(data(i)(j), data(i + 1)(j)) |
|
70 |
||
26 | 71 |
|
72 |
// test case using the prices calculated above |
|
52
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
73 |
val d = get_deltas(p) |
82 | 74 |
val ttd = get_deltas(tt) |
26 | 75 |
|
76 |
// (3) Write a function that given change factors, a starting balance and a year |
|
77 |
// calculates the yearly yield, i.e. new balanace, according to our dump investment |
|
78 |
// strategy. Another function calculates given the same data calculates the |
|
79 |
// compound yield up to a given year. Finally a function combines all |
|
80 |
// calculations by taking a portfolio, a range of years and a start balance |
|
81 |
// as arguments. |
|
82 |
||
83 |
||
18 | 84 |
def yearly_yield(data: List[List[Option[Double]]], balance: Long, year: Int): Long = { |
85 |
val somes = data(year).flatten |
|
86 |
val somes_length = somes.length |
|
87 |
if (somes_length == 0) balance |
|
88 |
else { |
|
62 | 89 |
val portion: Double = balance.toDouble / somes_length.toDouble |
18 | 90 |
balance + (for (x <- somes) yield (x * portion)).sum.toLong |
91 |
} |
|
92 |
} |
|
93 |
||
129 | 94 |
yearly_yield(d, 100, 0) |
82 | 95 |
yearly_yield(ttd, 100, 1) |
96 |
yearly_yield(ttd, 100, 2) |
|
129 | 97 |
yearly_yield(ttd, 100, 3) |
98 |
||
99 |
assert((yearly_yield(ttd, 100, 0) - 107).abs <= 2) |
|
100 |
assert((yearly_yield(ttd, 100, 1) - 85).abs <= 2) |
|
101 |
assert((yearly_yield(ttd, 100, 2) - 156).abs <= 2) |
|
102 |
assert((yearly_yield(ttd, 100, 3) - 210).abs <= 2) |
|
82 | 103 |
|
104 |
||
105 |
||
26 | 106 |
//test case |
52
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
107 |
yearly_yield(d, 100, 0) |
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
108 |
yearly_yield(d, 225, 1) |
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
109 |
yearly_yield(d, 246, 2) |
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
110 |
yearly_yield(d, 466, 3) |
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
111 |
yearly_yield(d, 218, 4) |
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
112 |
yearly_yield(d, 469, 5) |
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
113 |
yearly_yield(d, 587, 6) |
26 | 114 |
//yearly_yield(d, 100, 0) |
52
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
115 |
//yearly_yield(d, 125, 1) |
26 | 116 |
|
18 | 117 |
def compound_yield(data: List[List[Option[Double]]], balance: Long, year: Int): Long = { |
118 |
if (year >= data.length) balance else { |
|
119 |
val new_balance = yearly_yield(data, balance, year) |
|
120 |
compound_yield(data, new_balance, year + 1) |
|
121 |
} |
|
122 |
} |
|
123 |
||
52
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
124 |
compound_yield(d.take(6), 100, 0) |
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
125 |
|
18 | 126 |
def investment(portfolio: List[String], years: Range, start_balance: Long): Long = { |
127 |
compound_yield(get_deltas(get_prices(portfolio, years)), start_balance, 0) |
|
128 |
} |
|
129 |
||
52
7a4fe3f6b188
updated
Christian Urban <christian dot urban at kcl dot ac dot uk>
parents:
39
diff
changeset
|
130 |
investment(List("GOOG", "AAPL"), 2005 to 2009, 100) |
18 | 131 |
|
26 | 132 |
//test cases for the two portfolios given above |
133 |
||
129 | 134 |
println("Real data: " + investment(rstate_portfolio, 1978 to 2017, 100)) |
135 |
println("Blue data: " + investment(blchip_portfolio, 1978 to 2017, 100)) |
|
18 | 136 |
|
82 | 137 |
|
138 |
investment(List("IBM", "BIDU"), 2004 to 2008, 100) |
|
139 |
||
62 | 140 |
val p_fb = get_prices(List("FB"), 2011 to 2016) |
141 |
||
142 |
// prices 2011 - 2016 |
|
143 |
// |
|
144 |
List(List(None), List(None), List(Some(28.0)), |
|
145 |
List(Some(54.709999)), List(Some(78.449997)), |
|
146 |
List(Some(102.220001))) |
|
147 |
||
148 |
// deltas 2011 - 2016 |
|
149 |
val d_fb = get_deltas(p_fb) |
|
150 |
||
151 |
List(List(None), List(None), List(Some(0.9539285357142858)), |
|
152 |
List(Some(0.4339242996513305)), List(Some(0.30299560113431234))) |
|
153 |
||
154 |
yearly_yield(d_fb, 100, 0) //2011 => 100 |
|
155 |
yearly_yield(d_fb, 100, 1) //2012 => 100 |
|
156 |
yearly_yield(d_fb, 100, 2) //2013 => 195 |
|
157 |
yearly_yield(d_fb, 195, 3) //2014 => 279 |
|
158 |
yearly_yield(d_fb, 279, 4) //2015 => 363 |
|
159 |
||
160 |
investment(List("FB"), 2011 to 2012, 100) // => 100 |
|
161 |
investment(List("FB"), 2011 to 2013, 100) // => 100 |
|
162 |
investment(List("FB"), 2011 to 2014, 100) // => 195 |
|
163 |
investment(List("FB"), 2011 to 2015, 100) // => 279 |
|
164 |
investment(List("FB"), 2011 to 2016, 100) // => 363 |
|
165 |
||
166 |
||
64 | 167 |
val rs_p = get_prices(rstate_portfolio, 1978 to 2016) |
168 |
val bl_p = get_prices(blchip_portfolio, 1978 to 2016) |
|
169 |
||
170 |
val rs_d = get_deltas(rs_p) |
|
171 |
val bl_d = get_deltas(bl_p) |
|
172 |
||
173 |
rs_p(0) |
|
174 |
<- |
|
175 |
rs_p(1) |
|
176 |
<- |
|
177 |
rs_p(2) |
|
178 |
<- |
|
179 |
rs_p(3) |
|
180 |
||
181 |
rs_d(0) |
|
182 |
rs_d(1) |
|
183 |
rs_d(2) |
|
184 |
||
185 |
yearly_yield(rs_d, 100, 0) |
|
186 |
yearly_yield(rs_d, 96, 1) |
|
187 |
yearly_yield(rs_d, 95, 2) |
|
188 |
yearly_yield(rs_d, 134, 3) |
|
189 |
yearly_yield(rs_d, 126, 4) |
|
190 |
yearly_yield(rs_d, 169, 5) |
|
191 |
||
129 | 192 |
} |